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Bloomberg Interview Seen by 1 Farmer
Hi Art,
I always
have a business channel on when I do my office work. I farm so the
programming they were doing was very interesting to me. The host about fell
out of his chair when you said that we are putting two Iowa corn crops in
our gas tanks every year. I'm sure he understands the volume of corn used
for ethanol now which to him is "a Lot". I'm always amazed at the shallow,
inaccurate "reporting" that goes on these cable channels. I think you
helped agriculture’s cause because you didn't have an ax to grind. Ethanol
is constantly bashed on these networks. We definitely need leadership in
this country.
Thanks
Joe the
Farmer
Dear Joe,
I have no
Idea what State you live in but you must have been the only farmer in
America watching the Bloomberg Business Channel. You are right. The
critical details are never covered in a TV interview. It is also clear that
I was the straw man for food “inflation”. The viewpoint from New York is
these “outrageous higher food prices” are caused only by higher grains
prices, and higher food prices are hurting “poor” people.
I tried
to make the following points:
1.
We are nowhere near record wheat
prices.
2 .
Wheat stocks to use ratio is at 33% and
much higher than the 13% 2007 stocks to use ratio.
3.
Even if cash wheat prices were to reach
$14, there is still only 20 cents worth of wheat in a $3 loaf of bread.
4.
Futures would have to be much higher
than $14 because of the current basis problems
(this audience only follows futures
prices).
5.
I had to concede that higher corn
prices do eventually roll over into higher meat prices.
6.
My final point was that corn prices are
driving wheat prices, and that we put two Iowa corn crops in our gas tanks.
The host liked that one.
7.
I also made the point that we can
produce a lot more corn now that we have the energy market too.
For the
limits of live TV, I think it was the best I can do in the limited TV time
allowed. I would never have been interviewed for this program if grain
prices had been low, even though wheat prices are not at a record. However,
the increased returns from Goldman Sachs Commodity index fund was a good
thing, but that fund depends on higher prices. Go figure.
The link
to the interview is at:
http://www.bloomberg.com/video/66592848/
I only
had about 2 hours notice for the interview and I thought it was going be a
telephone interview so people would not see me. They called back and wanted
me to go to Dole Hall so they could have a live TV feed (my wife had to
bring me a coat and tie, purple of course). That really had the K-State TV
technical people scrambling at the last minute and I appreciate their
“can-do” work. I was in Manhattan so I could not see any of the charts that
the host posted nor were they sent to me before the interview, even when I
was asked to comment on the chart.
Grain
farmers need to understand that ethanol is a market-maker and there is going
to be a big fight with non-farm interests over ethanol policy. Anyone who
wants more details than provided in a “10,000 foot” TV interview should
attend our all day RAMII workshops in Wichita or Wyoming. Details at:
http://www.agmanager.info/events/RAM/2011/default.asp
Thank you
for taking the time to send me a note. I am happy to know one farmer saw
the interview. I very much appreciate the note. But please no more “cards
and letters”; I know I look old and fat on TV because I am old and fat!
Spend 31 years at KSU and anyone will look old!
Art
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