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   Home / Crops / Insurance / Risk Management

 

Disclaimer: This web page is designed to aid farmers with their marketing and risk management decisions. The risk of loss in trading futures, options, forward contracts, and hedge-to-arrive can be substantial and no warranty is given or implied by the author or any other party. Each farmer must consider whether such marketing strategies are appropriate for his or her situation. This web page does not represent the views of Kansas State University. 

Estimated Weighted National Average Price and Projected    
Percent ACRE Price for 2010/11 Date: 5/12/2010        
                Sorg-hum Soy-beans      
            Wheat Corn      
1 08-09 NASS Published Price1 6.78 4.06 3.20 9.97      
2 09-10 NASS Published Price1 4.94 3.52 3.07 9.50      
3 % of 08-09 NASS Price Settled2 93% 69% 75% 74%      
ACRE                      
4 2010 ACRE Strike Price, Average of 2008/09 & 2009/10 MYA Price 5.86 3.79 3.14 9.73      
               
5 Assume an "Average" State Yield, 2010 ACRE Payment Price X 90%3 5.27 3.41 2.82 8.76      
             
6 Assuming an "Average" Yield, Maximum ACRE Price to Exceed the 25% Cap on Payments4 3.96 2.56 2.12 6.57      
             
             
7 KSU Est. 2010/11 on Jun 1, 2010 4.81 3.57 3.17 9.47      
  Plus or Minus 1.06 0.69 0.70 2.08      
8 USDA Estimate of the 2010/11 MYA NASS price and range of price (May 11, 2010)5 4.60 3.50 3.20 8.75      
4.10 3.20 2.90 8.00      
5.10 3.80 3.50 9.50      
9 KSU Forecast of the 2009/10 New Crop MYA Price and range of price6   4.81 3.57 3.17 9.47      
  3.75 2.88 2.47 7.39      
  5.86 4.26 3.86 11.55      
10 % of 10-11 NASS Price Settled2 0% 0% 0% 0%      
11 $ ACRE in (out) of the Money 0.47 (0.16) (0.34) (0.71)      
12 % ACRE in (out) of the Money 8.0% (4.1%) (11.0%) (7.3%)      
Next Year's Cup & Cap                
13 Min 09/10 Price to trigger 10% Cup 5.61 3.30 2.57 8.02      
14 Max 09/10 Price to trigger 10% Cap 6.66 3.98 3.14 9.78      
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